Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.003296 0.003457 0.003620 0.003800 0.003993 0.004192 0.004416
2025-06-08 0.002995 0.003231 0.003483 0.003770 0.004091 0.004439 0.004847
2025-06-15 0.002780 0.003056 0.003356 0.003710 0.004116 0.004570 0.005121
2025-06-22 0.002618 0.002920 0.003256 0.003659 0.004134 0.004680 0.005360
2025-06-29 0.002514 0.002840 0.003209 0.003661 0.004205 0.004844 0.005660
2025-07-06 0.002364 0.002697 0.003079 0.003554 0.004135 0.004831 0.005739
2025-07-13 0.002291 0.002639 0.003045 0.003557 0.004194 0.004972 0.006010
2025-07-20 0.002250 0.002617 0.003051 0.003607 0.004310 0.005185 0.006380
2025-07-27 0.002173 0.002548 0.002994 0.003575 0.004320 0.005262 0.006572
2025-08-03 0.002107 0.002488 0.002948 0.003552 0.004338 0.005348 0.006777
2025-08-10 0.002044 0.002431 0.002901 0.003526 0.004350 0.005423 0.006969
2025-08-17 0.002023 0.002423 0.002916 0.003579 0.004465 0.005639 0.007365
2025-08-24 0.001972 0.002378 0.002882 0.003567 0.004495 0.005742 0.007607
2025-08-31 0.001917 0.002326 0.002837 0.003539 0.004501 0.005811 0.007804
2025-09-07 0.001855 0.002261 0.002774 0.003484 0.004466 0.005821 0.007912
2025-09-14 0.001799 0.002205 0.002719 0.003437 0.004442 0.005843 0.008037
2025-09-21 0.001766 0.002176 0.002701 0.003439 0.004484 0.005961 0.008313
2025-09-28 0.001696 0.002096 0.002611 0.003341 0.004380 0.005861 0.008245
2025-10-05 0.001667 0.002072 0.002595 0.003344 0.004420 0.005975 0.008517
2025-10-12 0.001657 0.002070 0.002610 0.003389 0.004524 0.006186 0.008954
2025-10-19 0.001619 0.002031 0.002573 0.003360 0.004516 0.006228 0.009118
2025-10-26 0.001586 0.001998 0.002542 0.003339 0.004520 0.006286 0.009310
2025-11-02 0.001554 0.001964 0.002510 0.003315 0.004517 0.006335 0.009489